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Probability of dam failure: taking alot into
account
Stedinger, Heath, and Thompson found many things that affect the likelihood
that a dam will fail. They created a sort of map showing the factors
which affect the failure of a dam and their relationships.
Do you think any of these things would affect the loss of life due to a dam
failure? Which ones? Why?
This diagram describes the many random factors that contribute to major inflow
floods and that determine reservoir operation and possibledownstream damages
during a flood event.This method of LOL (loss of life) calculation is known as
the Monte Carlo method. It is most effective in estimating the possible damage
for low- probability/ high- consequence events.
reference:
Stedinger, Heath, and Thompson
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